Preseason Rankings
Big South
2019-20


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
134 Radford 31.4%   15   0 - 0 0 - 0 18 - 10 13 - 5 +1.7      +1.5 129 +0.2 158 62.7 327 0.0 1 0.0 1
176 Gardner-Webb 18.1%   0 - 0 0 - 0 15 - 12 12 - 6 -1.0      +0.1 172 -1.2 200 68.0 205 0.0 1 0.0 1
194 Charleston Southern 14.5%   0 - 0 0 - 0 15 - 12 11 - 7 -2.1      -1.7 226 -0.5 182 71.6 100 0.0 1 0.0 1
218 Winthrop 10.7%   0 - 0 0 - 0 15 - 14 11 - 7 -3.2      -0.5 199 -2.7 249 79.7 15 0.0 1 0.0 1
245 Hampton 8.2%   0 - 0 0 - 0 14 - 14 9 - 9 -4.7      -0.4 195 -4.2 294 76.0 36 0.0 1 0.0 1
260 Longwood 6.7%   0 - 0 0 - 0 15 - 14 10 - 8 -5.4      -1.7 227 -3.7 282 67.6 210 0.0 1 0.0 1
301 UNC Asheville 2.9%   0 - 0 0 - 0 11 - 16 8 - 10 -8.1      -3.7 280 -4.4 301 59.6 348 0.0 1 0.0 1
302 Campbell 2.9%   0 - 0 0 - 0 11 - 17 7 - 11 -8.2      -4.4 298 -3.8 283 65.2 279 0.0 1 0.0 1
308 High Point 2.7%   0 - 0 0 - 0 10 - 19 7 - 11 -8.5      -6.5 332 -2.0 229 61.5 333 0.0 1 0.0 1
319 Presbyterian 1.6%   0 - 0 0 - 0 9 - 20 6 - 12 -10.0      -3.6 276 -6.4 340 68.4 184 0.0 1 0.0 1
340 South Carolina Upstate 0.6%   0 - 0 0 - 0 7 - 22 5 - 13 -12.7      -6.0 325 -6.7 342 70.4 132 0.0 1 0.0 1





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th
Radford 2.5 42.9 20.7 13.5 8.7 5.6 3.7 2.1 1.5 0.7 0.5 0.2
Gardner-Webb 3.6 22.7 18.7 15.4 13.1 9.5 7.6 5.3 3.6 2.3 1.3 0.6
Charleston Southern 3.8 18.7 18.9 16.0 12.9 9.5 8.3 6.0 4.2 2.9 1.8 0.8
Winthrop 4.5 13.2 14.0 14.2 13.6 12.0 10.1 8.1 6.0 4.5 2.8 1.4
Hampton 5.3 8.1 10.2 11.6 12.6 12.4 11.7 10.1 8.9 6.7 5.0 2.8
Longwood 5.2 7.9 10.8 12.4 12.3 12.2 11.5 9.9 8.2 7.0 4.9 2.9
UNC Asheville 6.7 3.1 4.8 6.7 8.7 10.3 11.8 12.3 12.5 11.7 9.8 8.2
Campbell 7.1 2.5 4.0 5.6 7.4 9.0 10.4 11.9 13.2 14.2 12.6 9.1
High Point 7.1 2.4 3.8 5.6 7.1 9.1 10.6 12.3 14.1 13.4 11.8 9.8
Presbyterian 7.8 1.3 2.1 3.3 5.2 7.2 8.9 11.3 13.8 15.5 17.2 14.2
South Carolina Upstate 9.0 0.4 0.7 1.5 2.4 3.8 5.6 7.8 10.6 15.0 21.6 30.6




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Radford 13 - 5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 0.7 1.5 2.6 4.0 6.2 8.6 10.6 12.6 14.1 14.3 12.1 8.2 3.5
Gardner-Webb 12 - 6 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.8 1.5 2.7 4.2 5.9 8.2 10.2 11.2 12.0 12.3 10.9 9.0 6.2 3.5 1.0
Charleston Southern 11 - 7 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 1.1 1.9 3.2 4.9 6.6 8.8 9.7 11.6 12.4 11.8 10.2 8.4 5.2 2.7 0.8
Winthrop 11 - 7 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.0 1.7 3.2 4.8 6.7 8.2 10.9 11.7 11.7 11.2 10.1 7.7 5.6 3.2 1.4 0.3
Hampton 9 - 9 0.1 0.3 0.9 2.1 3.6 5.4 7.1 9.1 10.0 11.7 11.5 10.5 9.4 7.3 5.1 3.3 1.6 0.7 0.2
Longwood 10 - 8 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.9 3.3 5.4 7.1 8.6 10.4 11.0 11.5 10.6 9.6 7.8 5.4 3.6 1.8 0.7 0.2
UNC Asheville 8 - 10 0.3 1.3 2.8 5.3 7.1 9.3 10.7 11.9 11.7 10.4 8.9 7.3 5.2 3.6 2.3 1.2 0.5 0.2 0.1
Campbell 7 - 11 0.5 1.8 4.1 6.3 8.8 10.8 11.7 11.5 10.9 9.6 7.7 6.3 4.2 2.7 1.6 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0
High Point 7 - 11 0.4 1.9 3.7 6.4 8.7 10.3 12.2 12.4 10.9 9.6 8.0 5.9 4.0 2.8 1.6 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0
Presbyterian 6 - 12 1.0 3.1 5.6 9.3 11.5 12.5 12.8 11.2 9.9 7.8 6.0 3.7 2.6 1.5 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
South Carolina Upstate 5 - 13 3.4 7.8 11.8 13.9 14.2 12.8 10.4 8.7 6.4 4.4 2.7 1.7 0.9 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Radford 42.9% 31.8 8.9 1.9 0.3 0.0 0.0
Gardner-Webb 22.7% 15.1 5.9 1.5 0.3 0.0 0.0
Charleston Southern 18.7% 11.8 5.4 1.3 0.2 0.0 0.0
Winthrop 13.2% 8.0 4.0 1.0 0.2 0.0
Hampton 8.1% 4.9 2.4 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0
Longwood 7.9% 4.2 2.7 0.8 0.1 0.0 0.0
UNC Asheville 3.1% 1.6 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.0
Campbell 2.5% 1.2 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
High Point 2.4% 1.3 0.8 0.2 0.1 0.0
Presbyterian 1.3% 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0
South Carolina Upstate 0.4% 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Radford 31.4% 31.2% 0.2% 15   0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.8 3.4 6.6 7.9 7.4 4.6 68.6 0.3%
Gardner-Webb 18.1% 18.0% 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.9 2.7 4.0 5.2 4.9 81.9 0.1%
Charleston Southern 14.5% 14.5% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.8 3.5 4.7 3.9 85.5 0.0%
Winthrop 10.7% 10.7% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.1 2.1 3.4 3.8 89.3 0.0%
Hampton 8.2% 8.2% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.4 2.4 3.5 91.8 0.0%
Longwood 6.7% 6.7% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.8 3.6 93.3 0.0%
UNC Asheville 2.9% 2.9% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 2.1 97.1 0.0%
Campbell 2.9% 2.9% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 2.1 97.1 0.0%
High Point 2.7% 2.7% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.7 97.3 0.0%
Presbyterian 1.6% 1.6% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.1 98.4 0.0%
South Carolina Upstate 0.6% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 99.4 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Radford 31.4% 2.2% 30.5% 3.8% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Gardner-Webb 18.1% 2.5% 17.1% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Charleston Southern 14.5% 1.8% 13.6% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Winthrop 10.7% 1.9% 9.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Hampton 8.2% 1.9% 7.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Longwood 6.7% 2.4% 5.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
UNC Asheville 2.9% 1.4% 2.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Campbell 2.9% 1.5% 2.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
High Point 2.7% 1.2% 2.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Presbyterian 1.6% 0.7% 1.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
South Carolina Upstate 0.6% 0.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 99.7 0.3
1st Round 91.8% 0.9 8.2 91.6 0.1
2nd Round 7.3% 0.1 92.7 7.3 0.0
Sweet Sixteen 1.7% 0.0 98.3 1.7 0.0
Elite Eight 0.2% 0.0 99.8 0.2
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0